POR 103-157 DEN, February 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat POR 157-103, and DEN's shots were worth 131.8 points to POR's 112.8.

POR 103-157 DEN, February 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	86	85	90.3	18/29	22.5	103	112.8
DEN	96	131	105.3	26/32	26.4	157	131.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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