NOP 118-139 MIL, February 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat NOP 139-118, but NOP's shots were worth 124.0 points to MIL's 121.3.

NOP 118-139 MIL, February 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	87	98	102.1	20/28	21.8	118	124.0
MIL	92	125	107.0	14/18	14.4	139	121.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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