CHA 113-118 CLE, February 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat CHA 118-113, but CHA's shots were worth 120.1 points to CLE's 107.5.

CHA 113-118 CLE, February 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHA9292101.521/2218.6113120.1
CLE779284.426/2823.1118107.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.