NOP 111-123 MIA, February 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat NOP 123-111, and MIA's shots were worth 136.1 points to NOP's 121.4.

NOP 111-123 MIA, February 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NOP9295106.216/1915.1111121.4
MIA10298110.325/3325.8123136.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.