MIN 133-109 POR, February 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat POR 133-109, and MIN's shots were worth 130.3 points to POR's 118.0.

MIN 133-109 POR, February 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN87104104.729/3525.6133130.3
POR9496105.513/1612.5109118.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.