HOU 102-105 LAC, February 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat HOU 105-102, but HOU's shots were worth 103.8 points to LAC's 103.4.

HOU 102-105 LAC, February 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	82	88	89.9	14/18	13.9	102	103.8
LAC	77	83	81.4	22/26	22.0	105	103.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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