No. CLE beat DEN 119-117, but DEN's shots were worth 118.0 points to CLE's 114.9.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 85 | 89 | 89.7 | 28/35 | 28.3 | 117 | 118.0 |
| CLE | 92 | 101 | 96.6 | 18/22 | 18.2 | 119 | 114.9 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.