ORL 118-99 MIL, February 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat MIL 118-99, and ORL's shots were worth 115.4 points to MIL's 98.6.

ORL 118-99 MIL, February 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ORL869493.824/2721.5118115.4
MIL778481.915/2116.79998.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.