MIA 111-115 UTA, February 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. UTA beat MIA 115-111, and UTA's shots were worth 128.4 points to MIA's 122.1.

MIA 111-115 UTA, February 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIA798188.230/4434.0111122.1
UTA9288104.527/3123.9115128.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.