MIN 96-115 LAC, February 8, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat MIN 115-96, but MIN's shots were worth 113.9 points to LAC's 108.6.

MIN 96-115 LAC, February 8, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN838297.014/2217.096113.9
LAC769285.823/2822.8115108.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.