POR 122-115 MEM, February 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat MEM 122-115, and POR's shots were worth 113.8 points to MEM's 102.7.

POR 122-115 MEM, February 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
POR95113103.39/1410.5122113.8
MEM8410086.315/2116.4115102.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.