PHX 103-109 PHI, February 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat PHX 109-103, but PHX's shots were worth 116.7 points to PHI's 112.6.

PHX 103-109 PHI, February 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHX837792.126/3124.5103116.7
PHI748184.128/3428.5109112.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.