ATL 119-126 CHA, February 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHA beat ATL 126-119, and CHA's shots were worth 121.9 points to ATL's 112.4.

ATL 119-126 CHA, February 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	88	104	98.6	15/17	13.8	119	112.4
CHA	95	110	108.9	16/16	13.0	126	121.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.