ORL 120-117 UTA, February 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat UTA 120-117, and ORL's shots were worth 127.6 points to UTA's 120.1.

ORL 120-117 UTA, February 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ORL848592.835/4334.8120127.6
UTA9298102.219/2317.9117120.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.