SAS 138-125 DAL, February 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Neither side had the better shots. SAS beat DAL 138-125, and the shots on each side were worth 135.5.

SAS 138-125 DAL, February 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	99	124	120.0	14/20	15.5	138	135.5
DAL	105	107	117.6	18/24	17.9	125	135.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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