OKC 106-112 HOU, February 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat OKC 112-106, but OKC's shots were worth 118.3 points to HOU's 111.4.

OKC 106-112 HOU, February 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	82	88	96.1	18/28	22.2	106	118.3
HOU	83	91	89.1	21/28	22.3	112	111.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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