MIN 115-119 NOP, February 6, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. NOP beat MIN 119-115, but MIN's shots were worth 123.1 points to NOP's 110.3.

MIN 115-119 NOP, February 6, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	95	93	103.3	22/26	19.7	115	123.1
NOP	80	101	93.1	18/22	17.2	119	110.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.