MIL 105-99 IND, February 6, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat IND 105-99, and MIL's shots were worth 108.7 points to IND's 99.2.

MIL 105-99 IND, February 6, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	95	101	103.9	4/6	4.8	105	108.7
IND	79	82	83.1	17/21	16.1	99	99.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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