ATL 121-119 UTA, February 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat UTA 121-119, and ATL's shots were worth 134.7 points to UTA's 126.1.

ATL 121-119 UTA, February 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ATL98104116.917/2317.8121134.7
UTA101106110.413/2015.7119126.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.