SAC 125-129 MEM, February 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat SAC 129-125, but SAC's shots were worth 117.6 points to MEM's 110.5.

SAC 125-129 MEM, February 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	100	101	95.1	24/28	22.4	125	117.6
MEM	90	108	88.3	21/28	22.2	129	110.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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