MIL 141-137 NOP, February 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat NOP 141-137, but NOP's shots were worth 121.2 points to MIL's 116.2.

MIL 141-137 NOP, February 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	92	133	108.0	8/10	8.2	141	116.2
NOP	94	114	99.2	23/29	22.0	137	121.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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