TOR 126-128 MIN, February 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat TOR 128-126, and MIN's shots were worth 127.9 points to TOR's 122.1.

TOR 126-128 MIN, February 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	89	109	103.1	17/24	19.0	126	122.1
MIN	97	114	109.3	14/25	18.5	128	127.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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