OKC 128-92 ORL, February 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat ORL 128-92, and OKC's shots were worth 126.6 points to ORL's 99.9.

OKC 128-92 ORL, February 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	93	108	106.5	20/26	20.1	128	126.6
ORL	89	81	91.2	11/11	8.7	92	99.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.