MIL 131-115 CHI, February 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat CHI 131-115, and MIL's shots were worth 116.5 points to CHI's 115.6.

MIL 131-115 CHI, February 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	97	123	105.6	8/15	10.9	131	116.5
CHI	91	99	97.8	16/23	17.8	115	115.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.