MEM 137-128 MIN, February 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat MIN 137-128, but MIN's shots were worth 127.5 points to MEM's 126.5.

MEM 137-128 MIN, February 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	88	107	97.9	30/35	28.6	137	126.5
MIN	90	104	103.4	24/31	24.1	128	127.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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