IND 114-118 HOU, February 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat IND 118-114, and HOU's shots were worth 119.6 points to IND's 106.6.

IND 114-118 HOU, February 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IND879889.716/2116.9114106.6
HOU878792.231/3727.3118119.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.