TOR 107-100 UTA, February 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. TOR beat UTA 107-100, but UTA's shots were worth 126.3 points to TOR's 115.9.

TOR 107-100 UTA, February 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	84	82	92.6	25/30	23.3	107	115.9
UTA	90	72	100.7	28/34	25.6	100	126.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.