SAS 112-103 ORL, February 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat ORL 112-103, and SAS's shots were worth 124.2 points to ORL's 117.2.

SAS 112-103 ORL, February 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAS829098.422/3225.8112124.2
ORL9190105.213/1512.0103117.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.