BOS 107-79 MIL, February 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat MIL 107-79, and BOS's shots were worth 102.5 points to MIL's 92.8.

BOS 107-79 MIL, February 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	92	97	91.9	10/13	10.6	107	102.5
MIL	82	68	81.4	11/15	11.4	79	92.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.