HOU 111-107 DAL, January 31, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat DAL 111-107, and HOU's shots were worth 124.1 points to DAL's 110.1.

HOU 111-107 DAL, January 31, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	108	100	112.7	11/15	11.4	111	124.1
DAL	92	92	90.5	15/26	19.7	107	110.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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