MEM 114-131 MIN, January 31, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat MEM 131-114, but MEM's shots were worth 127.8 points to MIN's 116.7.

MEM 114-131 MIN, January 31, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	90	98	108.3	16/24	19.5	114	127.8
MIN	89	112	98.6	19/24	18.1	131	116.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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