No. IND beat ATL 129-124, but ATL's shots were worth 116.9 points to IND's 108.5.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 89 | 111 | 91.4 | 18/21 | 17.1 | 129 | 108.5 |
| ATL | 97 | 103 | 94.9 | 21/28 | 22.0 | 124 | 116.9 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.