DEN 122-109 LAC, January 30, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat LAC 122-109, but LAC's shots were worth 112.9 points to DEN's 105.7.

DEN 122-109 LAC, January 30, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	73	96	79.9	26/32	25.8	122	105.7
LAC	86	94	95.6	15/21	17.3	109	112.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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