BOS 112-93 SAC, January 30, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat SAC 112-93, and BOS's shots were worth 106.6 points to SAC's 101.3.

BOS 112-93 SAC, January 30, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BOS9310294.310/1612.3112106.6
SAC837282.621/2318.893101.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.