MIN 123-111 OKC, January 29, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat OKC 123-111, but OKC's shots were worth 114.6 points to MIN's 114.5.

MIN 123-111 OKC, January 29, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	89	112	102.2	11/18	12.3	123	114.5
OKC	86	93	99.2	18/20	15.4	111	114.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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