PHX 114-96 DET, January 29, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat DET 114-96, but DET's shots were worth 107.5 points to PHX's 103.8.

PHX 114-96 DET, January 29, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	79	90	80.8	24/29	23.0	114	103.8
DET	87	80	90.9	16/21	16.6	96	107.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.