DEN 107-103 BKN, January 29, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat BKN 107-103, but BKN's shots were worth 108.4 points to DEN's 105.1.

DEN 107-103 BKN, January 29, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	80	89	85.3	18/25	19.8	107	105.1
BKN	85	88	94.3	15/18	14.1	103	108.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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