DAL 121-123 CHA, January 29, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat DAL 123-121, but DAL's shots were worth 120.6 points to CHA's 116.4.

DAL 121-123 CHA, January 29, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL103107108.814/1611.8121120.6
CHA91106101.517/1814.9123116.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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