UTA 124-140 GSW, January 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat UTA 140-124, and GSW's shots were worth 121.0 points to UTA's 113.6.

UTA 124-140 GSW, January 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA9010394.021/2419.6124113.6
GSW8611596.325/3024.7140121.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.