DAL 105-118 MIN, January 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat DAL 118-105, but DAL's shots were worth 123.0 points to MIN's 120.7.

DAL 105-118 MIN, January 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	84	79	92.7	26/39	30.3	105	123.0
MIN	94	98	101.2	20/27	19.6	118	120.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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