BOS 106-117 ATL, January 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat BOS 117-106, but BOS's shots were worth 103.5 points to ATL's 100.4.

BOS 106-117 ATL, January 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	89	93	90.7	13/16	12.7	106	103.5
ATL	93	108	90.0	9/13	10.4	117	100.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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