CLE 129-99 LAL, January 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat LAL 129-99, and CLE's shots were worth 126.5 points to LAL's 103.4.

CLE 129-99 LAL, January 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	97	119	116.1	10/13	10.5	129	126.5
LAL	81	87	90.0	12/18	13.4	99	103.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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