OKC 104-95 NOP, January 27, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat NOP 104-95, but NOP's shots were worth 127.0 points to OKC's 116.5.

OKC 104-95 NOP, January 27, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	87	83	97.3	21/23	19.2	104	116.5
NOP	99	78	110.0	17/22	17.0	95	127.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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