PHI 139-122 MIL, January 27, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHI beat MIL 139-122, and PHI's shots were worth 122.5 points to MIL's 117.6.

PHI 139-122 MIL, January 27, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI101128110.211/1512.3139122.5
MIL8610397.219/2720.4122117.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.