WAS 115-111 POR, January 27, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat POR 115-111, but POR's shots were worth 131.6 points to WAS's 116.2.

WAS 115-111 POR, January 27, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	98	97	99.8	18/21	16.4	115	116.2
POR	109	98	113.7	13/23	17.9	111	131.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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