MIN 108-83 GSW, January 26, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat GSW 108-83, but GSW's shots were worth 112.4 points to MIN's 111.7.

MIN 108-83 GSW, January 26, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	81	88	92.7	20/26	18.9	108	111.7
GSW	95	75	102.8	8/13	9.6	83	112.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.