HOU 108-99 MEM, January 26, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat MEM 108-99, but MEM's shots were worth 122.5 points to HOU's 113.2.

HOU 108-99 MEM, January 26, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	92	93	97.3	15/20	15.9	108	113.2
MEM	105	85	109.1	14/17	13.4	99	122.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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