BOS 102-94 POR, January 26, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat POR 102-94, but POR's shots were worth 106.0 points to BOS's 103.7.

BOS 102-94 POR, January 26, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	90	91	89.1	11/18	14.6	102	103.7
POR	78	74	82.7	20/30	23.3	94	106.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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