PHX 102-111 MIA, January 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat PHX 111-102, but PHX's shots were worth 121.8 points to MIA's 120.0.

PHX 102-111 MIA, January 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	100	81	101.6	21/26	20.3	102	121.8
MIA	93	87	97.3	24/29	22.7	111	120.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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