SAS 95-104 NOP, January 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat SAS 104-95, and NOP's shots were worth 129.9 points to SAS's 118.9.

SAS 95-104 NOP, January 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAS817693.419/3225.595118.9
NOP10291116.613/1713.2104129.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.